- Global corn syrup movement was mixed in Q1’26. Asia and North America saw firmer sentiment from stronger upstream corn costs, while Europe stayed softer due to a comfortable supply and weaker feed-linked demand.
- Corn was the main feedstock driver. India’s larger crop improved Asian availability, EU imports shifted toward Brazil and the US, and strong US exports kept North American corn sentiment supported.
- Downstream demand from beverages, confectionery, bakery, sauces, and processed foods remained stable, but buyers avoided heavy stocking because freight and energy risks rose after the Hormuz disruption.
Asia
Corn syrup sentiment moved upward in Q1’26, mainly due to stronger upstream corn movement in China and active regional grain trade. China’s corn starch market strengthened in March as raw corn costs increased and starch demand improved from food and industrial users. India added supply support to the region, with 2025/26 corn exports raised to 650,000 tons and output forecast at a record 43.0 million tons. This improved regional availability but did not fully offset higher conversion and logistics costs. The Iran war and Strait of Hormuz closure raised shipping risk and fuel-linked freight costs, adding support to delivered values. Downstream demand from beverages, bakery, confectionery, and processed foods remained moderate.
Europe
Corn syrup sentiment was steady to slightly weak during Q1’26. Corn availability remained comfortable, and EU import flows shifted as buyers reduced dependence on delayed Ukrainian cargoes and sourced more from Brazil and the US. EU corn imports were projected at 21 million tons for MY 2025/26. Weak animal feed demand and wheat substitution reduced pressure on corn, which softened the feedstock side for starch sweeteners. Food and beverage demand stayed stable, but not strong enough to lift the market sharply. Hormuz-related freight and energy pressure prevented a deeper decline.
North America
Corn syrup sentiment was steady with mild upward pressure. Strong export demand supported upstream corn, as US corn export commitments reached 2,558 million bushels by February. This kept corn availability tighter for domestic processors despite a large supply base. Corn syrup demand from beverages, sauces, confectionery, and packaged foods remained steady. Hormuz disruption added freight and fuel cost pressure, but the stronger corn export pace was the main driver.