Japan's METI granted a $3 billion CfD subsidy to ACME-IHI for 228,000 t/y green ammonia exports from India starting 2030. The program reduces price risk for producers and secures offtake by Japanese users, encouraging low-carbon ammonia production and likely stabilizing green ammonia prices in the long run.
Natural latex prices remained firm during Q1’26 as weather-related supply disruptions and higher logistics costs supported global market sentiment. In Southeast Asia, heavy rainfall and reduced tapping activity lowered Thailand’s rubber production by nearly 6% year-on-year during early Q1’26, tightening regional supply availability. Thailand’s natural rubber exports exceeded 1.2 million metric tons during the quarter, reflecting continued strong trade flows despite constrained production conditions. Demand from China’s automotive and tire manufacturing sectors remained comparatively stable, supporting baseline procurement across Asian markets, while downstream consumption from gloves, adhesives, industrial rubber products, and healthcare applications also stayed steady. However, buyers continued cautious purchasing due to elevated freight costs and uncertain global trade conditions. The Iran war and Strait of Hormuz disruptions further increased bunker fuel expenses, marine insurance premiums, and shipping costs for latex cargoes moving through key international trade routes, tightening export economics during the quarter.
Analyst Insight
According to Procurement Resource, natural latex prices are expected to remain firm as constrained supply conditions and elevated logistics costs continue balancing moderate downstream demand recovery.
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In 2025, natural latex prices moved through a year of constant change, shaped mainly by unstable supply and uneven demand across major markets. At the beginning of the year, prices stayed high because the main producing countries in Southeast Asia were still dealing with the effects of extreme weather from the previous season. Floods, heavy rains, and damaged plantations meant that tapping activities were delayed, stock levels were low, and transport from farms to ports was slow. With less latex available, buyers competed for supplies, and prices stayed firm.
As the year went on, production conditions improved. Better weather and the return of regular tapping increased output in Thailand, Indonesia, and Vietnam. At the same time, demand softened in China, where factories held large inventories and operated at slower speeds. This combination calmed the market, and prices moved downward for a period, especially when global industrial activity weakened and many buyers delayed new orders.
However, the easing trend did not last long. By the second half of the year, new waves of weather problems such as heavy rain, plant disease, and blocked transport routes again restricted supply. India’s strong tyre production and China’s renewed stockpiling added extra pressure. Even regions far from production zones, like Europe and North America, felt the impact, since they depended heavily on Asian imports. This pushed prices upward again, creating a year marked by repeated swings rather than a simple rising or falling trend.
Analyst Insight
According to Procurement Resource, Natural Latex prices are expected to stay sensitive to weather and supply risks given the current market fundamentals globally.
Natural latex is completely liquid latex that is derived from rubber trees native to tropical regions. It looks like a milky white liquid which is extremely soft and elastic. It is resistant to abrasion, wear and tear as well as fatigue and is mainly used to make rubber.
Widely used to make rubber and rubber products like gloves, mattresses, swim caps, rubber bands, catheters, balloons, tennis shoes, and even chewing gum
caoutchouc, gum elastic, India rubber, rubber
Sri Trang Agro-Industry Public Company Ltd, Halcyon Agri, Southland Rubber Co., Ltd, Sinochem Group Co. Ltd., Num Rubber & Latex Co., Ltd, Von Bundit Co., Ltd, Firestone Natural Rubber Company
CurrencyUS$ (Data can also be provided in local currency)
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Natural rubber latex is produced by making incisions on rubber tree bark, allowing the latex to flow out and collecting it in cups. The latex is then coagulated using diluted formic acid to form rubber. After removing excess water, the dried rubber sheet is rolled using a textured roller, resulting in natural latex rubber with a high rubber content of around 90%.
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