Sunflower Seed Price Trend and Forecast

Sunflower Seed Regional Price Overview

Get the latest insights on price movement and trend analysis of Sunflower Seeds in different regions across the world (Asia, Europe, North America, Latin America, and the Middle East & Africa).

Sunflower Seed Price Trend for the First Half of 2024

In the first half of 2024, sunflower seed prices exhibited mixed trends influenced by global production shifts, domestic and export market dynamics, and weather-related uncertainties. Globally, sunflower production was forecast to increase slightly by 1% to 55.4 million metric tons, driven by gains in Ukraine, Turkey, and the European Union, though production in Russia and Argentina was expected to decrease. Despite the increase in production, global sunflower seed exports were forecast to decline by 9% as Russia and Ukraine prioritized crushing domestically.
 

Sunflower Seed Price Chart

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Domestically, the U.S. sunflower production outlook for 2024 indicated a significant 29% drop due to reduced planted area, contributing to expectations of firm old-crop prices and potential premiums to encourage early harvests. Weather concerns also played a crucial role, particularly in regions experiencing drought and heatwaves. In the U.S., sunflower seed stocks were up significantly from last year, supporting demand but creating pressure on prices. In the export market, sunflower seed prices began declining in mid-April, reflecting seasonal trends.

Analyst Insight

According to Procurement Resource, with the global supply of Sunflower seeds increasing and consumption patterns and domestic crushing shifting in key markets, confined price performance is anticipated in the upcoming quarters.
 

Sunflower Seed Price Trend for the Second Half of 2023

Sunflower seed prices oscillated during the last two quarters of 2023. The price trend was slightly more inclined during the third quarter of the year compared to the fourth quarter. The year 2023 generally witnessed a better crop yield for sunflower primarily because the weather changes caused by the El Nino effect supported the sunflower crop production. This rise in yield ensured an uninterrupted supply of sunflower seeds in the markets.

The Government of India reduced the import duty on oils and oil seeds which further pulled the prices downwards in the said market. Globally, the sunflower seed prices wavered within very close limits. The freight hindrances in the later part of the fourth quarter did cause some disturbance, but overall, the market sentiments were largely neutral.

Analyst Insight

According to Procurement Resource, the Sunflower Seed price trend is expected to continue to behave similarly in the coming months, considering the current global economy and market dynamics.
 

Sunflower Seed Price Trend for the First Half of 2023

The Sunflower Seed market continued its disappointing run in the first half of the year 2023 as well. In November’22, the Government of India removed the stock limit for edible oil and oil seeds. This led to a stocking of Sunflower Seeds, and the European shipments from Russia and Ukraine were also readily available.

Demands from the downstream food and oil sectors were also very moderate. A stringent competition in the oilseeds market further made the situation difficult for Sunflower Seed prices. Overall, a cold market behavior was experienced for Sunflower Seed during the said period.

Analyst Insight

According to Procurement Resource, with the given supply scenario, the Sunflower Seed market is expected to continue behaving in a similar manner moving forward.
 

Sunflower Seed Price Trend for the Second Half of 2022

The Sunflower Seed market saw downward tribulations during the second half of the year 2022. Availability of Ukrainian supplies was the major driver for the Sunflower Seeds market. The black sea deal initiated in July’22 and then the removal of the export quota system by Russia further enhanced the supply volumes.

Other oilseeds and edible oils like soybean and palm were also in competition with Sunflower Seeds. So, the Sunflower Seed prices fluctuated on the lower end of the price curve during the said period.

Analyst Insight

According to Procurement Resource, given the glutted supplies and various alternative options present in the market, the Sunflower Seed prices are not likely to rise soon in the coming months.
 

Sunflower Seed Price Trend For the Second Quarter of 2022

North America

The average import price per tonne of sunflower seeds in April 2022 was USD 1,660, an increase of 16% from the previous month. It climbed at an average monthly pace of +10.5% over the previous three months. When the average import price rose by 32% in February 2022 compared to the prior month, the growth rate appeared to be at its fastest. The import price reached its peak in April 2022 and is anticipated to continue growing in the near future.

Europe

Russia and Ukraine are the two countries that were the world's biggest exporters of sunflower oil in 2021, with Ukraine selling 5.1 million tonnes of oil and Russia 3.1 million. Sunflower seeds price before the Russia-Ukraine war was £500-600 per tonne. In Q2 of 2022, sunflower seeds price was around £120 per tonne.
 

Sunflower Seed Price Trend For the First Quarter of 2022

Asia

Sunflower has a maximum price of 7620 INR/quintal in Bellary, India and a minimum price of 3100.00 INR/quintal in Adoni, according to current market values. Across all kinds, the average price per quintal was 6493 INR as of 31st March, 2022.

North America

Due to a large rise in worldwide supply this year, sunflower seed prices are expected to remain constant. In February 2022, average sunflower seed prices in the United States were 32 USD/cwt or 630 USD/MT.
 

Sunflower Seed Price Trend For the Fourth Quarter of 2021

Asia

Sunflower seed prices were over 6,015 INR/quintal in fiscal year 2022. This represented an increase above the prior fiscal year's purchase price. In fiscal year 2020, the South Asian nation consumed around 2.8 MMT of sunflower seed oil. The price in China is expected to range between 1.29-1.23 USD/kg in 2022.

Europe

According to EUROSTAT, the area under cultivation in France of sunflower seed was 698.85 thousand hectares in December 2021. In 2022, the price in France is expected to be in the range of 0.79-0.81 USD/kg. In Marseille and Paris, the average price of a tonne is USD 793.07.

North America

Sunflower seed prices towards the end of the quarter were between 3.9-4.31 USD/kg, which is expected to continue in 2022. In New York and Washington, the average price of a tonne was USD 3901.75.

Latin America

Late in the quarter, sunflower seed prices were expected between 0.65 and 0.95 USD/kg in Argentina. In Cordoba and Buenos Aires, the average price of a tonne was USD 647.64. Seeds in Brazil are expected to cost between 0.78-1.08 USD/kg in 2022.
 

Sunflower Seed Price Trend For First, Second and Third Quarters of 2021

Asia

The average procurement price of the seeds in India in fiscal year 2021 was about 5885 INR/quintal. This was a marginal increase over the previous fiscal year's purchase price. In China, the average price rose by 21.72% year-on-year. This value continued to display a flat trend beginning from the third week of January 2021 through July 2021.

The price in August was poised at 2.20 USD/kg. Demand for Chinese seeds has been constant over the past two years. Positive development may be noted in Egypt, Iraq, and Spain. China is still the world's second-largest exporter as it is backed by consumption, which is still at its highest level.

Europe

EU sunflower goods gradually became more attractive as prices fell dramatically between March and June, particularly as its oil costs fell to one of the lowest in the vegetable oil complex. Its relative competitiveness with soyabean and rapeseed oils improved dramatically during the last quarter.

On the demand side, market players anticipated that EU sunflower oil consumption for energy reasons would increase in the next marketing year (MY), exerting upward pressure on its prices. The seed processing in the EU may reach a record high of 9 MMT in 2022–22 MY owing to a larger crop of 10.5 MMT, according to Oil World.

North America

According to rates at the region's crush facilities as of Jan. 19, NuSun sunflower was offered at Cargill in West Fargo, North Dakota, for 20 USD/hundredweight for February delivery. For February delivery, the price at ADM in Enderlin, North Dakota, was 19.55 USD/hundredweight.
 

Sunflower Seed Price Trend For the Year 2020

Asia

Asia-Pacific is the world's largest consumer of sunflowers, accounting for 30% of the worldwide market. The market in this region is being driven by rising disposable incomes and an improved awareness of health issues. Consumers of edible oils in India are increasingly turning to this oil, which has seen a fivefold increase in use over the last 15 years.

On a country-by-country basis, India is the leader in exports, followed by Pakistan. The seeds were procured at a cost of more than 5,650 INR/quintal in fiscal year 2020. This is an increase of 4.8% above the previous fiscal year's purchase price. In fiscal year 2020, South Asian nations consumed around 2.8 MMT of sunflower seed oil.

Europe

France is the largest importer of sunflower seeds, accounting for 18% of the total imports in 2018. The cultivation area increased to a record high of 778.40 thousand hectares in December 2020. France also participated significantly in intra-European sunflower seed commerce, accounting for 8.5% of the intra-European import market.

Due to a decline in domestic output, French imports surged at a rapid annual rate of 41% in volume and 34% in value during the previous five years. Argentina is the major developing country that sends the commodity to France.

North America

According to rates at the region's crush facilities, ADM in Enderlin, North Dakota, offered NuSun sunflower for 19.50 USD per hundredweight for January delivery, while Cargill in Fargo, North Dakota, listed it at 19.35 USD.

Prices were advertised as 18.70 USD at Enderlin and 18.75 USD at Fargo for February delivery. Following a long-term downturn, the sunflower market for bird seed in 2019 was likely lower than it has been for years. On the other hand, the pandemic changed everything.

Since March 2020, when families all around the world found themselves spending an inordinate amount of time at home, a fresh interest in attracting birds to backyards and porches has started (or re-ignited) across all generations. As a result, increased demand for bird food led to a rise in the demand for sunflowers.

Procurement Resource provides latest prices of Sunflower Seed. Each price database is tied to a user-friendly graphing tool dating back to 2014, which provides a range of functionalities: configuration of price series over user defined time period; comparison of product movements across countries; customisation of price currencies and unit; extraction of price data as excel files to be used offline.