- Aluminium markets remained mixed during Q2 2026 as supply disruptions and elevated regional premiums offset softer underlying conditions in some major producing markets.
- Alumina, energy and logistics remained important cost drivers, while restricted Middle Eastern metal availability increased replacement costs in import-dependent markets.
- Automotive, construction, packaging and electrical demand provided support, although cautious procurement and improving availability limited stronger price gains in some markets.
Asia
In China, the average Aluminium price moved from around USD 3523.92/MT (FOB) in April to ~USD 3515/MT (FOB) in the last month of Q2’26, showing a marginal decrease. Prices of aluminium in the region increased slightly in the beginning of the quarter and eased through the last two months as supply remained adequate and buyers became more cautious. Improving availability and softer procurement from some downstream users restricted producers' ability to sustain earlier gains. In India, the price increased slightly from ~USD 3573.92/MT (CIF) to ~USD 3603/MT (CIF) during the second quarter. Prices of Aluminium remained stable with a slight increase as freight and replacement costs provided support, while construction, electrical and transport-sector demand maintained consumption. Regional import premiums also remained elevated as constrained availability of Western-origin metal tightened alternative supply options.
Europe
During Q2, the price was approx. USD 3644.92/MT (average, CIF) in April and around USD 3636.9/MT in June in Germany. Prices of Aluminium fluctuated in a narrow range during the quarter. Reduced Middle Eastern availability tightened physical supply and increased costs, particularly because Gulf producers previously accounted for around 19% of the EU's externally sourced aluminium ingots. CBAM-related carbon costs also became embedded in regional physical pricing from April. However, weaker industrial purchasing and cautious downstream restocking prevented these supply-side pressures from translating into sustained outright gains. Germany therefore showed a mild correction despite comparatively firm import and regulatory cost conditions.
North America
In the USA, the average Aluminium prices were about USD 3610.92/MT (CIF) in April to roughly USD 3670.4/MT in June, marking an ~1.65% increase. North American conditions remained firm as import tariffs, constrained replacement supply and reduced availability from traditional overseas sources increased landed costs. Around 20% of US ingot imports in 2025 came from the Persian Gulf, leaving the market exposed to Q2 supply disruptions. Domestic production remained insufficient to fully offset import requirements, while automotive, packaging and industrial demand supported purchasing.