Asia
In Q4’25, the prices of natural gas in Asia were mixed but firm. In the major countries that import this commodity, like India, the prices rose throughout the period. This was because of the strong demand from the power sector and fertilizer industries. These countries were preparing for the peak winter season. LNG imports were stable as the Asian countries secured the necessary supplies to meet the growing demand. However, the global supply of this commodity was impacted by the policy support to the export of this commodity from the US. In some countries of East Asia, the prices were slightly impacted by the mild weather. Nevertheless, the prices were stable to higher compared to the beginning of Q4. The prices in the Indian domestic market settled at around 15 USD/MT (Contract FD) in December’25.
Europe
European natural gas prices were highly volatile in Q4’25. During the initial weeks of the winter season, cold spells were experienced, which resulted in a temporary boost to the prices. However, the occurrence of warm spells towards the end of the season restricted the prices from increasing further. Storage levels were comfortable in the European region, which prevented the prices from increasing. Europe continued to receive high imports of LNG to compensate for the reduction in Russian pipeline supplies. However, the arrival of adequate supplies restricted the prices from increasing. Industrial gas demand was volatile because of the slow economic growth rate. Towards the end of the season, the prices were subdued because of the warm weather forecast.
North America
In the North American region, the prices of natural gas fluctuated considerably, though overall prices weakened towards the end of Q4. Despite the large withdrawal from storage reported by the U.S. Energy Information Administration, prices did not show any uptrend. This was mainly due to the fact that production remained close to record highs, which helped the prices. Though the prices had shown a sharp uptrend in the futures, the forecasts for mild weather conditions towards the end of the month pulled the prices down.
Analyst Insight
According to Procurement Resource, Natural Gas prices are expected to remain highly weather-dependent, with stable supply likely to limit sharp gains unless prolonged cold conditions returned.