In the second half of 2025, olive oil prices showed notable fluctuations across major producing countries. Spain, the world’s largest producer, experienced a recovery in production after two dry years. This led to a drop in prices initially, which helped boost domestic and international consumption.
Italy, however, maintained high prices for its extra-virgin olive oil, creating a wide gap compared to Spanish oil. Greece, Portugal, Tunisia, and Turkey also saw increases in production, though Turkey faced a lower yield compared to its record harvest the previous year, which caused local prices to rise sharply.
In Morocco, abundant production after previous shortages caused prices to fall significantly, easing pressure on both domestic and export markets. Despite these swings, the Mediterranean region continued to face climate-related risks, including droughts, heatwaves, and unpredictable rainfall, which added uncertainty to supply and pricing. In Turkey, market activity before the new harvest pushed prices upward, as existing stocks were low and demand, especially from the United States, increased.
Italy faced challenges due to market concentration and unfair competition, which suppressed local extra-virgin olive oil prices despite high quality. Overall, price movements reflected a combination of production recovery, regional demand differences, climate volatility, and market dynamics.