Olive Oil Price Trend Analysis 2026: Market Insights, Supply Demand Analysis, Historical Prices, Latest News & Price Drivers

Pragati Agarwal profile photo
Written ByPragati Agarwal

Procurement Resource Database

Laptop screen

Turn price intelligence into action with the Procurement Resource Database. Log in or subscribe to unlock live price trends, historical charts, supplier databases, cost curves, and analyst-backed insights across chemicals, agriculture, energy, packaging, and more. Use these tools to benchmark your contracts, plan budgets with confidence, and stay ahead of market moves on every product you buy.

Olive Oil Dashboard Inclusions

Olive Oil Price Dasboard

0

+

Products

0

+

Regions

0

+

Subscriptions

In the second half of 2025, olive oil prices showed notable fluctuations across major producing countries. Spain, the world’s largest producer, experienced a recovery in production after two dry years. This led to a drop in prices initially, which helped boost domestic and international consumption.

Italy, however, maintained high prices for its extra-virgin olive oil, creating a wide gap compared to Spanish oil. Greece, Portugal, Tunisia, and Turkey also saw increases in production, though Turkey faced a lower yield compared to its record harvest the previous year, which caused local prices to rise sharply.

In Morocco, abundant production after previous shortages caused prices to fall significantly, easing pressure on both domestic and export markets. Despite these swings, the Mediterranean region continued to face climate-related risks, including droughts, heatwaves, and unpredictable rainfall, which added uncertainty to supply and pricing. In Turkey, market activity before the new harvest pushed prices upward, as existing stocks were low and demand, especially from the United States, increased.

Italy faced challenges due to market concentration and unfair competition, which suppressed local extra-virgin olive oil prices despite high quality. Overall, price movements reflected a combination of production recovery, regional demand differences, climate volatility, and market dynamics.

About Olive Oil

Olive Oil is a liquid fat obtained from olives. With the melting point -6°C, boiling point 700°C and smoke point 190-215°C, 175°C, and 210°C for extra virgin, virgin, and refined olive oil, respectively, it is the most common vegetable oil.

People who consume an olive oil rich diet appear to have a higher life expectancy along with lower chances of dying from cardiovascular disease. Fresh olive oil has a pungent, fruity smell, while rancid olive oil has little smell or may smell like crayons or stale peanuts. It has a bitter taste with no fruitiness.

Olive Oil Product Detail

Cas Number
8001-25-0
Industrial Uses

Cooking, Frying food , Cosmetics, Pharmaceuticals, Soaps, Traditional oil lamps, Skin care

Synonyms

Olea europaea l. fruit oil

Supplier Database

Sovena Group, Mosselman S.A, Cargill, Incorporated, Archer Daniels Midland Company (Oilio®)

Regional Coverage

Asia Pacific

China, India, Indonesia, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Japan, Philippines, Vietnam, Iran, Thailand, South Korea, Iraq, Saudi Arabia, Malaysia, Nepal, Taiwan, Sri Lanka, UAE, Israel, Hongkong, Singapore, Oman, Kuwait, Qatar, Australia, and New Zealand

Europe

Germany, France, United Kingdom, Italy,Spain, Russia, Turkey, Netherlands, Poland, Sweden, Belgium, Austria, Ireland Switzerland, Norway, Denmark, Romania, Finland, Czech Republic, Portugal and Greece

North America

United States and Canada

Latin America

Brazil, Mexico, Argentina, Columbia, Chile, Ecuador, and Peru

Africa

South Africa, Nigeria, Egypt, Algeria, Morocco

CurrencyUS$ (Data can also be provided in local currency)

Supplier Database AvailabilityYes

Customization ScopeThe report can be customized as per the requirements of the customer

Post-Sale Analyst Support360-degree analyst support after report delivery

Note: Our supplier search experts can assist your procurement teams in compiling and validating a list of suppliers indicating they have products, services, and capabilities that meet your company's needs.

Olive Oil Production Processes

  • Production of Olive Oil via Extraction Process

Olive Oil is produced through the extraction of oil present in olive drupes. The oil is produced in the mesocarp cells, and stored in a specific kind of vacuole called a lipo vacuole. The extraction process involves separation of oil from other fruit contents, that is, vegetative extract liquid and solid material. This separation can be attained by physical means alone, that is, oil and water do not mix.

Frequently Asked Questions

In Q1 2026, olive oil prices declined broadly across key global markets. In Italy, prices showed a 12.69% decrease from January to March, in the USA they witnessed a 13.67% decline, in Spain a 2.83% drop, in Greece a 12.09% fall, and in Tunisia a 28.58% decrease. These movements reflected supply improvements from the recent larger harvest and cautious buying by major consumers.
Global olive oil production for the 2025/26 season is forecast at around 3.4 million tonnes, remaining above recent historical averages despite a slight decline from the previous season. Consumption is expected to recover gradually as prices ease from earlier highs, while improved Mediterranean supply should help maintain balanced market conditions. Barring major weather disruptions, olive oil prices are expected to remain relatively stable through 2026 with normal regional fluctuations.
Olive oil prices during Q1 2026 were influenced by the balance between larger-than-expected harvest volumes and slower end-user buying after previous high price levels. Mediterranean supply improvements helped ease tight inventories, while logistic costs and currency movements shaped trading flows. Competitive imports from North Africa also pressured some regional prices, especially in Italy where Tunisian shipments increased.
Leading olive oil producers include Spain, Italy, Greece, Tunisia, Turkey, Portugal, and Morocco. Spain accounts for a large share of global supply, followed by Italy and Greece. Tunisia plays an important export role, particularly toward the EU. These Mediterranean origins dominate production, trade flows, and pricing dynamics in the global olive oil market.
In the 2025/26 season, several pressing developments affected the olive oil supply chain. Spain and Tunisia reported robust harvest volumes, with Tunisia approaching one of its largest outputs in recent campaigns, increasing processing activity. In parts of southern Italy, cooperative mills expanded capacity to handle the larger 2025 harvest following leaner seasons, enabling higher throughput of olives into processing and storage.
In Q1 2026, Tunisia requested an increase in its zero-duty olive oil export quota to the EU from 56,700 tonnes to 100,000 tonnes per year. The request mattered because Tunisian olive oil was already entering Europe at competitive prices, adding pressure on producers in Spain, Italy, and Greece. In March 2026, the EU stated that it did not plan additional trade concessions for Tunisian agricultural products, including olive oil. This helped prevent further tariff-free supply pressure during the quarter.
Olive trees are perennial and typically enter dormancy in winter. Bud break and flowering occur in spring when daily average temperatures rise above about 15–18 °C. Fruit set and growth proceed through summer with warm, dry conditions, and olives mature in late autumn. Harvest generally takes place from October through December in the Northern Hemisphere. The entire cycle from pollination to mature fruit spans roughly 180–210 days, with good production requiring well-drained soils, moderate winter chill, and minimal frost.
Olive oil production is highly sensitive to rainfall, temperature, and flowering conditions. Drought, excessive heat, or poor rainfall distribution can reduce fruit set and lower oil yields, while favorable spring and summer conditions support higher production. Because most global olive oil supply comes from Mediterranean countries, weather patterns in Spain, Italy, Greece, Tunisia, and Turkey are closely monitored by producers and buyers.
Olive fruit fly pressure remained a key pest concern in the 2025/26 campaign, particularly in Greece and parts of Spain. This fly damages developing fruit, reducing yield and oil quality if not managed effectively. Growers intensified monitoring and integrated pest management early, but outbreaks in warmer, moist pockets required additional sprays, influencing cost and harvest timing in some regions.
Procurement Resource employs a structured methodology combining primary research, secondary market data, analytical models, and validation processes to assess olive oil prices and trends. Price evaluations incorporate supply-demand dynamics, feedstock movements, trade flows, and value chain analysis, supported by continuous market monitoring to ensure accurate and reliable insights.

About the Author

Pragati Agarwal profile photo

Pragati Agarwal

Senior Business Insights Analyst

Delivering price trend analysis and procurement market insights at Procurement Resource, with expertise in identifying commodity patterns, supporting purchasing strategies, and improving cost efficiency through actionable market intelligence.

Our Price Analysis Methodology

Schedule Demo

Schedule a demo

Experience how Procurement Resource transforms raw material price data into clear, decision ready intelligence. Optimise your performance with reliable, expert market data and analysis. Schedule your demo today to experience a live walk-through where our experts will showcase interactive price charts, forecasted prices, and insights driving the prices for your key commodities, tailored to your workflows. Contact us now!

Our Team will be happy to assist you

We are just a text away

+1

Still Need Help?

Europe & Africa

+44 7573 171117

[email protected]

USA & Canada

+1 307 363 1045

[email protected]

APAC

+91 8850629517

[email protected]

Other Related Reports

Syngas Production from Fuel Oil (heavy hydrocarbons)

This report presents a cost analysis of syngas production from heavy fuel (heavy hydrocarbons)

LPG Production from Crude Oil

This report provides the cost structure of LPG production by the petroleum refining process. In this process, the crude oil recovered is separated into oil and wet gas via a gas trap.

Ammonia Production from Heavy Oils

This report provides the economy of producing ammonia by partial oxidation method.

Unlock full access to Procurement Resource's price databases, interactive charts, and short-term forecasts for thousands of commodities. Elevate your sourcing decisions by comparing prices across regions, downloading historical data, and layering in analyst-backed insights, all with our flexible plans that scale as your portfolio grows.

Still have any Questions

Contact Us
Mastercard
Wire
VISA
Stripe

Related News

View All

Why Procurement Database

Commodity Market Intelligence

Commodity Market Intelligence

Track prices, market movements, supply-demand dynamics, and industry developments across hundreds of commodities through a centralized intelligence platform built for informed procurement decisions.

Price Forecasts & Market Outlooks

Price Forecasts & Market Outlooks

Understand market fluctuations using analyst-backed forecasts, historical pricing patterns, and evolving industry trends to strengthen sourcing strategies and budget planning.

Cost & Procurement Optimization

Cost & Procurement Optimization

Leverage cost models, pricing benchmarks, and procurement insights to evaluate purchasing opportunities, improve negotiations, and enhance operational efficiency.

Global & Regional Market Insights

Global & Regional Market Insights

Access region-specific price trends, trade activities, capacity changes, and supply chain developments influencing commodity markets worldwide.

1/4