Orange Oil Price Trend and Forecast

Regional Price Overview

Get the latest insights on price movement and trend analysis of Orange Oil in different regions across the world (Asia, Europe, North America, Latin America, and the Middle East & Africa).

Orange Oil Price Trend for the Second Half of 2023

Orange oil has a high concentration of limonene, which makes it a valuable ingredient in the manufacturing of cleaning products, fragrances, and cosmetics. In the agricultural sector, orange oil is utilized as a natural pesticide and insect repellent. Additionally, its pleasant citrus aroma makes it a popular choice in aromatherapy and flavoring agents for food and beverages. With increasing demand for eco-friendly and natural products, orange oil serves as a sustainable alternative, driving its adoption across diverse industrial sectors.

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In 2023, São Paulo state and Triângulo Mineiro experienced a positive year in terms of citrus trade, with citrus farmers receiving favorable prices for oranges and their derivative products.

Both the market and the industrial segment saw firm price levels, reaching record highs due to lower supply compared to demand. This scarcity of raw materials required in the production of orange oil was further driven by the limited trading activities across the globe, notably from the US and Europe, which was further exaggerated by limited production.

The orange season also seemed to report low rates of production compared to the previous year, largely due to above-average rains leading to blossom-end rot, negative biennial cycles, reduced flower volume in some late variety trees, and the severity of greening. This production shortfall raised concerns about the global orange oil supply, keeping its prices in the north zone throughout the H2 of 2023.

Analyst Insight

According to Procurement Resource, the price of Orange Oil is estimated to be based on the limited rates of production and excessive demand from the downstream industries.

Orange Oil Price Trend for the First Half of 2023

The Orange Oil prices remained on the inclined trajectory during the first half of 2023. The prices inclined owing to high upstream costs and because the farming yields had been severely impacted by the adverse and unseasonal weather changes along with deadly bacterial infection that hit the orange trees. Overall, because of the limited feedstock availability, the Orange Oil prices surged throughout H1 2023.

The Orange Oil spot prices in the Brazilian domestic market witnessed a surge of around 13% within the first quarter. Unforeseen calamities like typhoons and hurricanes also impacted orange production. Around 10% of total orange trees were lost in the single state of Florida in the USA because of a hurricane. So, the price trend for Orange Oil remained inclined during the entire discussion period.

Analyst insight

According to Procurement Resource, Orange Oil prices are expected to continue rising because the upstream costs are continuously rising due to limited feedstock availability.

Orange Oil Price Trend for the Q3 and Q4 of 2022

The price trend for Orange Oil directly depend on the feedstock orange prices, and as Brazil is the biggest producer country for Oranges, the Orange Oil prices here set the tone for Orange Oil prices in other prominent global markets as well. The spot prices for Orange Oil averaged around 7975 USD/MT in April’22 and went to 9899 USD/MT in December’22, registering an overall incline of around 24%.

The production had risen year on year for oranges, but the primary reason for such shooting prices was the rise in upstream costs. As the energy prices shot because of the Russian attack on Ukraine and all other farm requirements like pesticides, herbicides, fertilizers, etc., also saw a rise in prices, thus together pushing the Orange Oil prices up. Overall, inclined price trend for Orange Oil were observed during the concerned period of discussion.

Analyst insight

According to Procurement Resource, the Orange Oil prices are expected to continue to fly high for some time, given the high farming expenditures and rising upstream costs.

Orange Oil Price Trend for the First Half of 2022

The orange oil market has sustained significant development in recent years, driven by the tremendous rise in global demand. As a result of the unfavourable weather, Brazil's orange growth was hampered in Q1 of 2022.

In the most recent projection update, the average fruit weight dropped to 142.2 g which is 15.9% less than it had been across the preceding five harvest seasons. The growth of the fruit was negatively influenced by unfavourable weather circumstances, including a severe drought and multiple frosts in June and July, which increased premature fruit drop.

Hence, the reduced output directly impacted the price trend for orange oil worldwide. Amid the present shortages the prices of orange oil stood firm owing to greater demand from the food and beverage sector.The prices for orange oil in Q1 averaged 18 USD/kg while in Q2 it averaged 18-20 USD/kg.

For the Fourth Quarter of 2021

Asia

Domestic consumption was enhanced over the Chinese New Year. The average weekly wholesale price of navel oranges increased across the country as a result of this. Domestic consumption dropped after the Spring Festival. The price in China's production areas was the first to be disappointed as a result of competitive products. Wuming Wo Citrus output increased dramatically again.

Due to the market climate in 2022, the navel orange market is largely stable, and the price remains consistent at a low level. Due to adverse weather, the quality of sweet oranges has deteriorated, and market sales have decreased.

Europe

In Italy, the crop production fell by almost 40% by the end of 2021 which in turn impacted the quantity of the fruit processed, which is usually 40% of the whole output. As a result, this impacted orange oil prices.

North America

The orange production in the US, as reported in mid-December, was split almost equally between California and Florida with production levels of 43.5 million boxes and 46 million boxes respectively. The production in Florida had been severely impacted by the fruit drop in the region. The market price of per kg of orange in December was 16 USD.

For First, Second and Third Quarters of 2021

Europe

In 2021, sweet orange production declined by double digits in Portugal, Greece, Italy, and other key producing countries, despite a minor gain in Spanish sweet orange production. However, their price in the EU was generally low during the season, with the exception of high-quality Italian sweet oranges with large production losses.

The influence of insufficient internal consumer demand and low-cost sweet oranges in third countries was primarily responsible for the price decline in the EU market. In Spain, orange oil shortages had been reported which contributed to a rise in orange oil prices in the region.

Latin America

In the third quarter of 2021, the product’s prices witnessed an unprecedented rise in Brazil due to an increased demand in the market amid a shortage in supply as the country faced difficulties in harvest and environmental challenges. Brazil was the largest producer of the fruit with an output greater than Europe and China put together.

The crop yield in the first and second blooms in Brazil had however been poor in 2021 as result of rare snowfall and long-term droughts in the region. The freezing temperatures in February were also a reason for citrus crops being hampered. Global shortages for orange oil amidst high demand led to a jump in orange prices. Orange availability had also been affected in Peru which contributed to the price rise.

For the Year 2020

Europe

Summer temperatures scorched the orange groves, which were then battered by severe rains in the fall of 2019. As a result, Spain's crop dropped 15.2% to 3.3 MMT. Spain, like many other citrus-producing countries, has seen a significant increase in domestic fruit consumption.

Price inflation has resulted from the rapid demand and resulting supply deficit. Spanish exports have risen as well. Demand fueled by rising consumer spending has resulted in stronger shipments to Canada and the EU, with March 2020 data setting a new high. Spain saw a 7% increase in the first quarter of 2020. The market price of the fruit in Spain was recorded at 7 EUR/kg.

North America

The orange crop in Florida suffered due to the pandemic as labour shortages were reported amidst lockdowns. The orange oil produced was not up to the standards even though it met the specifications. Even in California, the orange production had dropped by single digit percentages.

The production of the fruit in the US was around 120 million boxes, down by 6 million boxes from the previous year. The demand for orange oil in Florida was however high and local production did not satisfy it leading to imports from Brazil which too was facing shortages due to lower crop output, driving up orange oil prices in the region.

Latin America

The prices witnessed an upward trend in 2020. The main orange oil market is mainly dictated by the Brazilian production. As the fruit’s production dipped in Brazil in 2020 following the pandemic and due to unfavourable weather conditions like warm temperatures and low rainfall, orange oil prices went up amid low supplies.

The production of the fruit in Brazil had fallen by 20% as compared to last year to 370 million boxes while the volume of orange fit for processing was even lower. A reduced turnout of crops was also reported in other regions like Mexico as compared to last year.

In eastern Mexico, the its production was considerably less as compared to previous year due to severe drought issues in the region during the winters. In July 2020, orange oil prices were around 5000-6000 USD/MT which were up by almost 2000-3000 USD/MT from last year’s prices around the same time. The demand had gone up in 2020 as the demand for household cleaners went up during the pandemic. Orange terpenes and d-limonene are major by-products of orange oil, both used in household cleaners.

Procurement Resource provides latest prices of Orange Oil. Each price database is tied to a user-friendly graphing tool dating back to 2014, which provides a range of functionalities: configuration of price series over user defined time period; comparison of product movements across countries; customisation of price currencies and unit; extraction of price data as excel files to be used offline.