- Palladium prices exhibited an overall mixed trend, with an initial decline followed by a partial recovery driven by geopolitical developments.
- Feedstock conditions remained balanced with steady mine supply and increased recycling keeping the market adequately supplied.
- Downstream demand stayed weak, with reduced automotive consumption and a shift toward electric vehicles limiting price support.
The palladium market exhibited a volatile pattern during Q1’26. Initially, the palladium price curve experienced a downward trajectory due to the strong performance of the U.S. dollar, high bond yields, profit-taking after price appreciation, and declining demand for automobiles. The ongoing transition from internal combustion engines to electric vehicles further contributed to the lower utilization of palladium in exhaust systems, alongside steady production levels and increased recycling rates, causing an oversupply that caused the drop in price.
Nonetheless, towards the end of Q1’26, the market witnessed a reversal of fortune in terms of prices as growing geopolitical tensions in Iran and the Middle East raised fears of disruptions to the supply chain, causing the prices to recover. Other supportive factors included the attempts by key palladium producers to boost industrial demand outside the auto sector.