PCL3 (Phosphorus Trichloride) Price Trend and Forecast

Phosphorus Trichloride Regional Price Overview

Get the latest insights on price movement and trend analysis of PCL3 (Phosphorus Trichloride) in different regions across the world (Asia, Europe, North America, Latin America, and the Middle East & Africa).

Phosphorus Trichloride Price Trend for the Q2 of 2024

Asia

In Asian countries, particularly China, the price of phosphorus trichloride followed a downward trend, echoing the decline seen in its key market drivers. This decrease was driven primarily by weak consumer sentiment and sluggish market demand, which led to reduced procurement activities. As a result, domestic production rates for phosphorus trichloride were also scaled back. The drop in production was further influenced by a reduction in the cost of key raw materials required for phosphorus trichloride production.
 

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In China, the market recovery following the holiday season was slower than expected, failing to revitalize demand significantly. Although domestic production rates aligned with market demand, an ample supply from overseas players led to an oversupply situation. This, in turn, created downward pressure on phosphorus trichloride prices, similar to the trend observed with phosphorus pentachloride as the quarter progressed.

Europe

In Europe, the phosphorus trichloride market exhibited greater stability compared to Asia, with prices remaining within a narrow range throughout Q2 2024. This stability was the result of a balanced supply-demand dynamic in the region, which prevented significant price fluctuations. While the surge in freight charges and transportation delays limited the influx of Asian phosphorus compounds into Europe, it did not significantly impact the overall availability of phosphorus trichloride in the region.

Consequently, export volumes of the commodity remained steady, supporting market momentum. However, traders were cautious about raising price quotations for phosphorus trichloride despite the stable in-house demand. This hesitation was influenced by global market trends suggesting a potential decline in overseas orders in the coming months, mirroring the sentiment in the phosphorus pentachloride market.

North America

The North American market for phosphorus trichloride during Q2 2024 experienced price fluctuations, much like phosphorus pentachloride. These oscillations were primarily driven by changing demand patterns in both domestic and international markets, alongside other contributing factors.

The increase in freight charges, extended lead times, and restocking activities by major importers played significant roles in shaping the market. As the demand season concluded and inventories were sufficiently restocked, procurement rates for phosphorus trichloride began to decline. This led to inconsistent pricing patterns throughout the quarter, reflecting the broader market dynamics observed with phosphorus pentachloride.

Analyst Insight

According to Procurement Resource, the price of Phosphorus Trichloride is estimated to be influenced by the uncertain scenario of the feedstock market and the weak stance of the downstream industries in the forthcoming quarters.
 

PCl3 (Phosphorus Trichloride) Price Trend for the Q1 of 2024

Asia

In the first quarter of 2024, the PCl3 (Phosphorus trichloride) market displayed an optimistic growth pattern in China. China experienced a surge in prices due to limited availability and increased demand, leading to a significant incline in the market momentum.

The export restrictions in China further added uncertainty to the global market, prompting importing nations like Malaysia to seek alternatives from Vietnam and Egypt. However, the slowdown in sales of DAP and MAP contributed to the list of challenges for the traders, but the overall outlook of the market worked in favor of the inclining price trend of PCl3 (Phosphorus trichloride). In China, the market was further fueled by the rise in derivative chemicals costs, driven by increased market inquiries and bidding prices.

Europe

In the first quarter of 2024, PCl3 (Phosphorus trichloride) prices showed a mostly downward trend as compared to the last quarters as the support from the downstream industries faded. However, there was no major decline in the market was observed, with prices for most fertilizers moving only towards a slightly lower end. The farmers of the European countries, however, quoted that the lack of government policies lowered the market sentiments of the fertilizer sector and, in turn, PCl3 (Phosphorus trichloride).

Additionally, the rising number of protests demanding relief from agricultural challenges exaggerated by factors like EU regulations, increased fertilizer and energy costs due to conflicts like Russia's war in Ukraine, and influxes of cheaper imported farm products further caused a decline in the pricing pattern of PCl3 (Phosphorus trichloride).

North America

Throughout the first quarter, the US market saw the price of PCl3 (Phosphorus trichloride) stabilizing on the lower end due to a lack of support from the drivers of the market. The downstream product prices and shipment volumes of US exports of agricultural products decreased significantly in Q1 of 2024, leading to a slow market ahead of the spring sowing season. Additionally, the interest of consumers in the urea market diminished amid challenging weather conditions across the US.

Despite the sluggish movement, MAP values held the market stable in anticipation of a promising season. On the other hand, at the end of the quarter, there was a slight indication of demand recovery and increased spot purchasing activities as agricultural and trading activities picked up with the shift from cold to summer temperatures.

Analyst Insight

According to Procurement Resource, the price trend of PCl3 (Phosphorus Trichloride) is expected to surge with the rise in the sales figures of derivate markets and the inclining trajectory of the cost of feedstock phosphorus.
 

Phosphorus Trichloride Price Trend for the October - December of 2023

Asia

During the initial months of Q4’23, the price trend for phosphorus trichloride inclined, given the rising costs of feedstock phosphate rock. The mining activities in China bloomed, and the market offtakes vacated the inventories at a much faster rate, causing the availability of low-price phosphorus rock to become scarce in the market.

However, soon, the demands from the downstream fertilizer and metallurgical sector dwindled, causing the stockiest to release the hoarded stocks. Also, the prices of feedstock chlorine kept low throughout the said quarter which again reinforced the negative outlook for the phosphorus trichloride market.

Europe

The European domestic product faced immense competition from the unfairly priced products coming from China. Owing to the dumping activities from China and rising competition, domestic manufacturers were forced to lower their profit margins. Furthermore, the heightened costs of feedstock materials, along with the ongoing inflation, impacted consumer sentiment, causing the prices to fall more.

North America

Despite the uptick in phosphate-based fertilizers in the US domestic market, the market still exhibited a grim scenario for phosphorus trichloride prices. The availability of cheap imports from China, Panama Canal droughts affecting freight movement, and mounting inflation amid low to moderate demands caused the traders to discount the market prices in order to vacate the inventories soon.

Analyst Insight

According to Procurement Resource, the price trend for Phosphorus Trichloride are likely to remain either stable or might dwindle depending on the volatility in the downstream demand and the anti-dumping measures taken by governments worldwide.
 

Phosphorus Trichloride Price Trend for the July - September of 2023

Asia

The downturn in the phosphorus trichloride prices during the first month of the third quarter was a consequence of poor demand from the downstream industries and lower support from the upstream industries. The cost of phosphorus mineral also struggled to maintain its pace in the third quarter and, in turn, negatively affected the phosphorus trichloride prices. However, with the progress in the quarter, the trend demand sentiments started showing signs of recovery, and in the upcoming months, the phosphorus trichloride price forecast will likely remain in the positive zone.

Europe

In European countries, consumers adopted a wait-and-see approach as the excess pressure of inflation and oscillations in the prices of raw materials depleted the market momentum of phosphorus trichloride. The European economy also faced dire consequences of contraction in the currency rates as compared to the US dollar. In addition to this, the electric vehicles sector, which showed signs of improvement in the last quarters, continued on the lower end throughout the third quarter of 2023.

North America

The domestic inventories of phosphorus trichloride depleted during the third quarter of 2023 along with its demand from the end-user industries. This suggested that the overall market dynamics of phosphorus trichloride fell steeply under the pressure of rising inflation and soaring interest rates charged by banks. In addition to this, the excess influx of material from the Asian countries and delayed purchasing by the automotive sector further caused tensions in the phosphorus trichloride market.

Analyst Insight

According to Procurement Resource, the price trend of Phosphorus Trichloride are estimated to follow a depreciating trend in the upcoming months. The consumer confidence in the phosphorus trichloride market and rising inflation will likely push the phosphorus trichloride prices in a downward direction.
 

Phosphorus Trichloride Price Trend for First Half of 2023

Asia

The prices of phosphorus trichloride declined steeply in the first and second quarters of 2023 as the gap between supply and demand widened. The demand fell not only in the domestic but also in the international markets.

The number of new orders from the downstream agricultural industries was almost negligible, which resulted in the downfall of the phosphorus trichloride price trend. The manufacturing activities also slid amid challenging economic conditions, and the rates of exports took a big hit while the imports were stable, causing the level of inventories to rise.

Europe

The poor performance of the downstream industries and consistent fall in the economic conditions of the European countries proved to be a challenge for the market dynamics of phosphorus trichloride. The rates of exports fell by almost a double-digit percentage, indicating a low appetite of consumers and weak global demand. However, there were some positive movements shown by the agricultural and fertilizers sectors that helped keep the market sentiments of phosphorus trichloride afloat.

North America

The downstream fertilizer industries failed to make any progress in the first quarter of 2023. The overall demand for phosphorus trichloride from both domestic and international buyers significantly declined in turn, hampering the growth of the phosphorus trichloride price trend. Further, the challenging condition of the global economy deteriorated the confidence of consumers in the sector, which eventually led to the downfall of the phosphorus trichloride price trend.

Analyst Insight

According to Procurement Resource, the price trend of Phosphorus Trichloride is estimated to decline as its upcoming market trend is dependent on the performance of the agricultural sector.

Procurement Resource provides latest prices of PCL3 (Phosphorus Trichloride). Each price database is tied to a user-friendly graphing tool dating back to 2014, which provides a range of functionalities: configuration of price series over user defined time period; comparison of product movements across countries; customisation of price currencies and unit; extraction of price data as excel files to be used offline.