Polyolefin Elastomers Price Trend and Forecast

Regional Price Overview

Get the latest insights on price movement and trend analysis of Polyolefin Elastomers in different regions across the world (Asia, Europe, North America, Latin America, and the Middle East & Africa).

Polyolefin Elastomer Price Trend for the Q1 of 2024

Asia

The new trade measures proposed by countries like Indonesia and Brazil, coupled with India's protectionist policies, adversely impacted the pricing patterns of polyolefin elastomer during the first quarter of 2024. Additionally, the trajectory of polyolefin elastomer prices was further influenced by Europe's consideration of a carbon border adjustment mechanism and China's efforts in the direction of carbon capture and storage technologies.

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The country's transition towards renewable energy sources, particularly solar and wind power, however, raised the quotations of low-carbon polyolefin elastomers among overseas traders. However, challenges such as disruption of production volumes on the onset of the Chinese New Year holiday season and sudden maintenance shutdown of plants lowered the overall dynamics of the polyolefin elastomer market.

Further, the disruptions to global trade, including geopolitical tensions and demographic shifts in maritime trading routes, further hampered the export profit margins of polyolefin elastomers.

Europe

In Q1 of 2024, European automotive sales continued to fluctuate, and so did the pricing pattern of polyolefin elastomers. The demand for polyolefin elastomers from the Chinese import market remained subdued due to sluggishness in the new energy vehicle sector. Despite healthy demand from the US, sluggish sales of petrol and diesel cars in the European countries offset the overall positive momentum, leading to only a marginal incline in the prices of polyolefin elastomers.

The European automotive market witnessed a contraction driven by regulatory changes favoring electric vehicles, impacting polyolefin elastomers' demand negatively. On the other hand, manufacturing activities continued to decline, with shrinking factory orders and declining employment levels. However, the industry outlook of feedstock chemicals remained favorable throughout the quarter, favoring a surge in the prices of polyolefin elastomers.

North America

During the first quarter of 2024, polyolefin elastomer prices registered a marginal increase in the US market. The escalating growth of industrial drivers was observed in the US, particularly influenced by the rise in construction sector demand. In the US, polyolefin elastomers prices slight uptick was also attributed to feedstock market movements, particularly surging ethylene prices and rising crude oil costs impacting monomer and overall production costs.

Despite a sudden decline in January vehicle sales, other economic factors like increased foreign market demand contributed significantly to the price surge in polyolefin elastomer. However, the loss of trading routes and the export extracted profit margin loomed over the traders and manufacturers of polyolefin elastomers, limiting the uptrend in its prices.

Analyst Insight

According to Procurement Resource, the price trend of Polyolefin Elastomer is expected to be driven by the surge in automotive sales figures and the inclining cost of feedstock chemicals.

Polyolefin Elastomer Price Trend for the October - December of 2023

Asia

In Asia, the struggling condition of the automotive and EV sectors projected a negative influence on polyolefin elastomer price trend. The overall trend of the polyolefin elastomer market in China as well as in India remained bearish due to several factors.

The downturn in prices of crude oil, pet coke, and other energy resources, which are responsible for the supply of raw materials required in polyolefin elastomer production, affected the market trend. The concern of traders and manufacturers further escalated when Asian countries failed to maintain the export-import balance, and as a result, the polyolefin elastomer price trend eventually faced southwards.

Europe

Onto a rough start in the fourth quarter of 2023, prices for polyolefin elastomer dropped by a significant margin in Europe. The polyolefin elastomer sector demonstrated endurance only for a short while in the face of a difficult situation in the downstream vehicle market, as the percentage decline in new car registrations during the quarter was a surprise for the traders. The European polyolefin elastomer market was also affected by external variables as much as by regional market conditions. The major indicator of this was a reduction in export activities and loss of crude oil shipments from Russia.

North America

The US market for polyolefin elastomers shared similar concerns as that of European countries as the polyolefin elastomer prices dropped during the end quarter of 2023. Despite declining feedstock, crude oil, and overall production costs, the market found it difficult to register any recovery in Q4. The polyolefin elastomer market experienced a little decline due to the weak demand from major importing countries, which contrasted with the good signs for the automotive sector and is thus attributed to the most significant cause of the downfall of polyolefin price trend.

Analyst Insight

According to Procurement Resource, the price trend of Polyolefin Elastomer are estimated to struggle with the rigid outlook of downstream demand and excessive rise in inflationary pressure.

Polyolefin Elastomers Price Trend for the July-September of 2023

Asia

Polyolefin Elastomers prices were observed to be wavering low throughout the said period of the third quarter of the year 2023. Since the Polyolefin Elastomers are yielded as a result of the polymerization of ethylene copolymers and alpha-olefins, their price trend closely align with each other. So, the fall in prices of these feedstock materials primarily drove the Polyolefin Elastomers market trend for the said time period.

Since the Chinese markets were recovering slowly after the removal of COVID-19 restrictions, the downstream demands for Polyolefin Elastomers finally started rising. But, despite the rise in purchase queries the price graph continued to be downward facing. Other than the feeble upstream cost support from raw materials, all the accumulated supplies of the low-demand periods kept the prices dull and swinging. Overall, mixed market sentiments were observed.

Europe

The European Polyolefin Elastomers market saw healthier supply and demand dynamics compared to its Asian counterpart. The suppliers were already making conscious purchases here owing to the mountainous inflation that skyrocketed after the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Hence, the inventories were at their optimum level, and the regular demands of the given period further supported the moderate market trend. Overall, a largely stable price graph was witnessed for Polyolefin Elastomers during Q3’23.

North America

The Polyolefin Elastomers prices fluctuated for the most part in the American region since the downstream demands remained in the driving role for the entire period. The beginning was rather strong, however, the pace tumbled moving forward. Further, by the end of the quarter an even shortened gap was witnessed between the supply and demand dynamics of the American market. Overall, mixed market sentiments were observed.

Analyst Insight

According to Procurement Resource, the Polyolefin Elastomers prices are expected to continue to waver in the coming months as well. Feedstock prices, availability, and downstream demands will keep a tight influence on the Polyolefin Elastomers market run.

Polyolefin Elastomer Price Trend for the First Half of 2023

Asia

In the first quarter of 2023, the price trend of polyolefin elastomer faced southwards as it was adversely affected by the downfall of the automotive industry and the availability of imports from South Korea and Singapore that, caused the problem of overstocking in the region. However, the second quarter proved to be favourable for the polyolefin elastomer market.

A remarkable incline was observed in the prices as the demand from the automobile industry and related downstream sectors increased. The market was also favoured by the rising domestic and overseas orders and the strong performance of the Asian auto sector. The positive consumption rates further supported the polyolefin elastomer market and ultimately led to the surge in the prices of polyolefin elastomer.

Europe

The polyolefin elastomer prices declined in the first quarter of 2023 and struggled throughout the second quarter. In the first quarter, the prices were affected by the stumbling market and falling freight charges. The European region also suffered from soaring inflation rates and hikes in interest rates that caused a decline in consumer confidence in the polyolefin elastomer sector.

However, the trend inclined slightly in the first few months of the second quarter due to the increased number of offtakes and ample supply of the product in the region. The strong demand caused the production rates to shoot up, especially in the Spanish market. But towards the end of the second quarter, the prices of raw materials in the European region significantly declined, which adversely affected the polyolefin elastomer prices.

North America

The first quarter recorded a declining trajectory in the price trend of polyolefin elastomer. The major employer of polyolefin elastomer, i.e., the automotive sector struggled to maintain its demand throughout the quarter and with excess availability of the product, the prices of polyolefin elastomer dipped.

In the initial months of the second quarter, the market dynamics improved as it gained support from the improving automotive sector in domestic and overseas regions. In addition to this, limited stocks of the product due to labour shortages and feeble supply also supported the rising prices. However, the trend declined again in the last months with the revival of operational rates and an increased influx of products on the market.

Analyst Insight

According to Procurement Resource, the price of polyolefin elastomer is estimated to oscillate in the upcoming quarter. The automotive sector is struggling to maintain its market dynamics, and the excess number of inventories is estimated to affect polyolefin elastomer prices negatively.

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