Renewed fighting between US and Iran has slowed shipping through the Gulf of Hormuz, disrupting supply routes. Benchmark crude prices have climbed sharply from pre-conflict levels, reflecting heightened geopolitical risk. The upward price pressure is likely to continue while tensions persist.
Intensified US-Iran military actions disrupt oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz, causing a sharp spike in crude oil prices. The price jump leads to severe depreciation of the Indian rupee, raising import costs and inflationary concerns.
Asia
The prices of 2-Methyl-1,3-Butadiene in Asia had an overall weak and unstable trend during 2025, primarily due to low demand and high import supply within the synthetic rubber industry. The prices were pressured due to high import supply, especially from key suppliers, which resulted in comfortable inventories. The downstream synthetic rubber and tire industry maintained their production activities, while their demand for 2-Methyl-1,3-Butadiene remained subdued, with most players preferring to procure small quantities.
The weak construction market, along with low growth in infrastructure development, impacted the demand for synthetic rubber, thereby limiting the demand for 2-Methyl-1,3-Butadiene. Although the automotive and new energy vehicle sectors offered some support, it did not have an overall positive impact. In addition, favorable conditions for international sourcing, along with low freight costs, resulted in stable to weak prices during the year.
Europe
In the European market, the 2-Methyl-1,3-Butadiene market was in a stable and slightly soft trend in 2025 due to balanced supply and demand from industries related to rubber and chemical products. The production was stable in this market due to consistent operations in petrochemicals and enough supply in feedstocks. However, the demand from industries was low due to economic factors and industrial activities that were slow due to economic risks and uncertainties. The market was in a stable range with minor fluctuations throughout the year due to consistent supply in this market and no shortage was seen due to enough supply in this market.
North America
In the North American region, the 2-Methyl-1,3-Butadiene market faced a mixed and slightly declining trend in 2025. The production levels and cracker margins were adequate, which helped to maintain the supply in the market. The demand from tire, automotive, and industrial rubber segments remained moderate, which did not allow the 2-Methyl-1,3-Butadiene prices to recover. The high inventory levels and import demand added pressure to the suppliers. Some support to the market came from the export and manufacturing segments. However, the purchase strategy did not allow the 2-Methyl-1,3-Butadiene market to move further. Towards the end of the year, the market remained stable, and the price movement was minimal.
Analyst Insight
According to Procurement Resource, 2-Methyl-1,3-Butadiene prices are expected to remain stable with mild fluctuations, depending on rubber demand, feedstock trends, and global economic recovery.
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Asia
Throughout 2024, the Asian 2-Methyl-1,3-Butadiene market exhibited fluctuating trends. The first quarter began with declining prices as the Chinese market experienced subdued automotive demand coupled with excess inventory. The second quarter witnessed an upward movement due to rising feedstock costs and heightened demand from automotive and tire sectors, particularly in Japan.
The third quarter continued this momentum with notable increases compared to Q2, driven by insufficient inventory and rising production costs. The final quarter turned bearish, especially in Japan, as the automotive sector underperformed amid economic uncertainties and earthquake-related logistical challenges.
Europe
The European 2-Methyl-1,3-Butadiene market demonstrated resilience throughout 2024, beginning with a robust first quarter that saw significant increases from the previous quarter. This surge was driven by strong automotive demand and rising energy costs. The second quarter continued upward, supported by tire sector demand and the ECB's rate cuts facilitating industrial investment. The third quarter saw further increases reflecting sustained demand, while Q4 exhibited persistent bearish trends due to subdued trading and limited downstream activity despite occasional bullish momentum from automotive sectors.
North America
The North American 2-Methyl-1,3-Butadiene market experienced a volatile year. Q1 showed substantial price increases compared to the previous quarter, driven by strong automotive demand and higher operating costs. The second quarter reversed this trend with declining prices due to sluggish downstream demand and high inventory levels. The third quarter initially declined due to inventory accumulation but later improved with heightened supplier activity and rising butadiene feedstock costs.
The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut by 50 basis points provided some economic stability. The fourth quarter showed mixed performance with modest resilience despite challenges from port strikes along the East and Gulf Coasts, which constrained the supply chain.
Analyst Insight
The 2-Methyl-1,3-Butadiene market is expected to maintain cautious stability in 2025, with prices closely tracking automotive industry performance and feedstock costs. Regional disparities will likely persist, with Asia potentially seeing faster recovery contingent on improved consumer confidence and supply chain normalization.
Isoprene is a fairly common organic compound that is also known as 2-methyl-1,3-butadiene. In its pure form, it is a colourless volatile liquid. Isoprene is an unsaturated hydrocarbon. It is produced by many plants and animals, and its polymers are the principle component of natural rubber.
C5H8
Tires, Healthcare, Apparel and footwear
Isoprene
The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company, Royal Dutch Shell Plc, Kuraray Co. Ltd., ZEON Corporation, LyondellBasell Industries N.V.
CurrencyUS$ (Data can also be provided in local currency)
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Thermal cracking of naphtha occurs in this process to produce 2-methyl-1,3-butadiene.
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