- Kerosene prices moved upward globally in Q1 2026, driven by supply disruptions linked to the Iran war and restricted energy flows through the Strait of Hormuz, tightening product availability.
- Feedstock constraints intensified as nearly 20% of global oil and LNG flows were disrupted, increasing refining and transportation costs and pushing kerosene prices higher.
- Downstream demand remained moderate, with aviation, household, and industrial usage facing pressure from higher prices, limiting the pace of consumption growth.
Asia
In Asia, kerosene prices increased due to strong supply-side pressure and import dependence. The Iran war disrupted tanker routes through the Strait of Hormuz, raising freight and insurance costs and tightening supply availability. India imports a large share of its crude from the Middle East, and disruptions to these flows forced refiners to seek alternative sources and adjust logistics, increasing production costs and supporting kerosene price increases. Feedstock shortages and delayed cargo arrivals reduced refinery output flexibility, while demand from aviation and household fuel segments remained stable but price-sensitive, limiting stronger consumption growth.
Europe
In Europe, kerosene prices increased due to constrained imports and higher procurement costs. Disruptions in Gulf exports forced buyers to compete for limited cargoes, raising freight rates and insurance premiums. Partial rerouting of LNG and energy cargoes affected supply chains, while a stronger dollar increased import costs. Supply tightness combined with cautious downstream demand from aviation and industrial sectors kept prices elevated, though inflation and economic uncertainty restricted demand expansion.
North America
In the North American markets, kerosene prices increased due to global supply tightening and elevated transportation costs. Reduced availability of imported feedstock and higher risk premiums on shipments supported price increases. Strategic stockpiles and domestic production adjustments helped maintain supply stability, but elevated geopolitical risks and higher refining costs sustained upward pressure on kerosene prices. Demand from the aviation and heating sectors remained steady but sensitive to price increases, limiting sharper consumption growth.